Welcome to the OTB Free Breeders' Cup Picks page where you can find free horse racing handicapping picks for the Breeders' Cup races at Churchill Downs, Kentucky, November 2 and 3, 2018. This is a special edition of our normal free picks, focusing on Breeders' Cup Friday and Saturday, and we've provided TWO sets of picks for this special weekend at Churchill. Our resident handicapper Rob Gregorka has been joined by a special contribution from Bob Gregorka for the Breeders' Cup!
2018 Breeders' Cup Free Picks at Churchill Downs
| Rob's Breeders' Cup Picks for Friday | |
|---|---|
| Race 1 | |
| 4 | *My Pick Of The Day* (65% Have Finished 1st or 2nd) #4 Dutch Parrot (3/1)- Excellent recent workout, could win big here. |
| Race 2 | |
| 6 | #6 Captain Von Trapp (2/1)- Trainer S. Asmussen enters hot of late with talented horse. |
| 2 | #2 Admire (6/1)- First time starter for trainer D. Romans has potential. |
| Race 3 | |
| 4 | #4 M G Warrior (5/1)- Great recent workout, a bit under the radar. |
| 3 | #3 Heavy Roller (10/1)- Excels at this distance, should be in the mix. |
| 6 | #6 Westerland (10/1)- Also working out well of late, a lot to like. |
| Race 4 | |
| 2 | #2 Improbable (5/2)- The switch from sprint to route could make the difference. |
| 8 | #8 Louder Than Bombs (8/1)- First start on dirt may help a lot, should be included. |
| Race 5 - $1,000,000 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint | |
| 1 | #1 Strike Silver (4/1)- Good recent workout, the horse to beat. |
| 2 | #2 Soldier's Call (9/2)- Best at this race length, should hit the board. |
| 6 | #6 Moonlight Romance (12/1)- Exiting key race, looks to keep winning. |
| Race 6 - $1,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf | |
| 6 | #6 Newspaperofrecord (2/1)- Working out well of late, ready to run a big race. |
| 1 | #1 Concrete Rose (6/1)- Very impressive two starts back, will be competitive. |
| 12 | #12 Summering (15/1)- Excels at this distance, very good value. |
| Race 7 - $2,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies | |
| 10 | #10 Bellafina (2/1)- Great recent workout, could run best race of career yet. |
| 2 | #2 Serengeti Empress (7/2)- Also had a solid recent workout, must be considered. |
| 4 | #4 Restless Rider (9/2)- Loves running at Churchill, tough to throw out. |
| Race 8 - $1,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf | |
| 6 | #6 Henley's Joy (8/1)- Excels at this distance, talented horse. |
| 11 | #11 King of Speed (8/1)- Also best at this race length, and in a good spot. |
| 10 | #10 War of Will (12/1)- Very good recent workout, nice value. |
| Race 9 - $2,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile | |
| 9 | #9 Game Winner (8/5)- Excellent recent workout, could go wire to wire. |
| 8 | #8 Standard Deviation (12/1)- First start with blinkers could help tremendously. |
| 1 | #1 Dueling (20/1)- Exiting a key race in which he won, could surprise. |
| Race 10 | |
| 2 | #2 Dabster (9/2)- Great recent workout, easily the horse to beat. |
| 7 | #7 Big Dollar Bill (5/1)- Also working out well recently, should be in the mix. |
| 8 | #8 Honorable Duty (4/1)- Loves running at Churchill, should be included. |
| Bob's Breeders' Cup Picks for Friday | |
|---|---|
|
Best Bet - 9th race Game Winner. Long shots of the day 8th race (yes same race) Uncle Benny (15/1) & The Black Album (30/1) |
|
| Race 5 - $1,000,000 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint | |
| 5 | #5 Bulletin (10/1) - Plectcher's horse has best race on paper for this |
| 6 | #6 Moonlight Romance (12/1) - Impressive KY Juv in Sept makes him a threat |
| 2 | #2 Soldier's Call (9/2) - 4 for 4 with 3 wins in the money across the pond |
| Race 6 - $1,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf | |
| 12 | #12 Summaring (15/1) - She figures to love the footing, impressive record so far |
| 6 | #6 Newspaper of record (12/1) - Has it all going for her, she has Trainer Brown, last fastest of all, great workouts |
| 11 | #11 Lady Prancealot (30/1) - Trainer Baltas over 50% in the money. She comes off two decent races |
| Race 7 - $2,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies | |
| 8 | #8 Sippican Harbor (12/1) - Comes off impressive, win in Spinaway at Saratoga. Should be even better here |
| 7 | #7 Jaywalk (7/2) - Comes off big performance for underrated crafty Trainer. |
| 10 | #10 Bellafina (2/1) - Price will be super short, can't ignore in exotics, she is just too good |
| Race 8 - $1,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf | |
| 2 | #2 Uncle Benny (15/1) - Servis has him trained up to this perfectly! My long shot of the day |
| 9 | #9 The Black Album (30/1) - French invader has the class and style for a big upset here |
| 6 | #6 Henley's Joy (8/1) - He will love the going here. Maker has him ready |
| Race 9 - $2,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile | |
| 9 | #9 Game Winner (8/5) - Much the fastest so far. Great works for this and you get Baffert! |
| 6 | #6 Complexity (5/2) - Will give my top horse all he can handle, almost as fast so far |
| 4 | #4 Tight Ten (30/1) - Long shot to throw in with the chalk. Comes off win on this track. Best 5F workout of the day on 10-18 |
| Rob's Breeders' Cup Picks for Saturday | |
|---|---|
| Race 1 | |
| 7 | #7 Last Bad Habit (7/2)- Exiting extremely key race, the horse to beat. |
| 6 | #6 Tiz Mischief (3/1)- Best recent Beyer figure in the field. |
| Race 2 | |
| 3 | #3 Audible (2/1)- Exiting key race, ready to run well here. |
| 11 | #11 Still Having Fun (4/1)- Excels at this distance, will be competitive. |
| 6 | #6 Mr Freeze (12/1)- Great recent workout, should be in the mix. |
| Race 3 - $1,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint | |
| 13 | #13 Marley's Freedom (8/5)- Excellent recent workout, could win big. |
| 1 | #1 Selcourt (4/1)- Also working out well of late, must be considered. |
| 11 | #11 Finley'sluckycharm (10/1)- Loves running at Churchill, should be included. |
| Race 4 - $1,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint | |
| 9 | #9 Stormy Liberal (4/1)- Best at this race length, in a great spot. |
| 11 | #11 World of Trouble (6/1)- Well rested, and looks to keep winning. |
| 6 | #6 Rainbow Heir (12/1)- Trainer J. Servis has had success in similar races. |
| Race 5 - $1,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile | |
| 7 | #7 Firenze Fire (6/1)- The switch from sprint to route may make the difference. |
| 10 | #10 Catalina Cruiser (8/5)- Very good recent workouts, should hit the board. |
| 1 | #1 City of Light (5/2)- Also had an impressive recent workout, a lot to like. |
| Race 6 - $2,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf | |
| 1 | #1 Fourstar Crook (5/1)- Best recent Beyer figure in the field. |
| 2 | #2 Thais (20/1)- Nice recent workout, great value. |
| 7 | #7 Smart Choice (30/1)- First start under trainer T. Pletcher. |
| Race 7 - $2,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Sprint | |
| 9 | #9 Roy H (5/2)- Well rested, ready to run a big race. |
| 5 | #5 Imperial Hint (9/5)- Trainer L. Carvajal has had success in similar spots. |
| 2 | #2 Promises Fulfilled (6/1)- Working out well of late, worth including. |
| Race 8 - $2,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Mile | |
| 5 | #5 Oscar Performance (6/1)- Excels at this distance, a bit under the radar. |
| 10 | #10 Catapult (6/1)- Good recent workout, and exiting key race. |
| 9 | #9 Hunt (30/1)- Exiting key race, could surprise. |
| Race 9 - $2,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Distaff | |
| 2 | *My Pick Of The Day* (65% Have Finished 1st or 2nd) #2 Abel Tasman (7/2)- Former BC winner returns off an excellent recent workout. |
| Race 10 - $4,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Turf | |
| 12 | #12 Waldgeist (9/2)- Foreign import is expected to impress here. |
| 3 | #3 Channel Maker (12/1)- Best at this race length, nice value. |
| 7 | #7 Glorious Empire (12/1)- Well rested, and in a great spot for trainer J. Lawerence II. |
| Race 11 - $6,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Classic | |
| 14 | #14 Accelerate (5/2)- Excellent recent workouts, and best at this race length. |
| 7 | #7 West Coast (5/1)- Also a great recent workout, and best Beyer figure in field two starts back. |
| 4 | #4 Gunnevera (20/1)- Exiting extremely key race, could continue to hit the board. |
| Race 12 | |
| 3 | #3 Shenandoah Queen (7/2)- Excels at this distance, talented horse. |
| 6 | #6 Divine Miss Grey (9/5)- Also excels at this race length, tough to throw out. |
| 7 | #7 Berned (8/1)- Steadily improving, and ready for a big improvement. |
| Bob's Breeders' Cup Picks for Saturday | |
|---|---|
|
Best Bet - 5th race Catalina Cruiser (8/5) Long shots of the day: Race 3 - Finley'slukycharm (10/1) Race 6 - Smart Choice (30/1) |
|
| Race 3 - $1,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint | |
| 11 | #11 Finley'sluckycharm (10/1) - Coming off great works and is 6 of 7 at this track |
| 1 | #1 Selcourt (4/1) - Gets the nod over favorite with big post position edge |
| 13 | #13 Marley's Freedom (8/5)- Tough post with so much speed inside of her |
| Race 4 - $1,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint | |
| 9 | #9 Stormy Liberal (4/1) - Gets the nod in a tight race |
| 6 | #6 Rainbow Heir (12/1) - Servis has him ready for top effort |
| 11 | #11 World of Trouble (6/1) - Servis hogs the exotics with another one ready for best effort |
| Race 5 - $1,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile | |
| 10 | #10 Catalina Cruiser (8/5) - Will be very hard to beat much the best |
| 1 | #1 City of Lights (5/2) - Battles top pick for lock exacta |
| 7 | #7 Firenize Fire (6/1) - Has the ability to pull of an upset |
| Race 6 - $2,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf | |
| 7 | #7 Smart Choice (30/1) - Argentina invader comes off great race, combine with great breeding makes him a live long shot |
| 1 | #1 Fourstar Crook (5/1) - One of 5 entries for Chad Brown, she's fast |
| 6 | #6 Sister Charlie (3/1) - Another speed demon out of the Brown stable |
| Race 7 - $2,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Sprint | |
| 1 | #1 Whitmore (6/1) - Eye popping CD workout on 10-26 - 4f in 46.2 - 9 wins out 13 at this distance |
| 8 | #8 Limousine Liberal (6/1) - In top form 6 wins out of 8 at this track |
| 5 | #5 Imperial Hint (9/5) - Carvajal wins 70% at this level. Horse is 10 of 11 in the money at this distance |
| Race 8 - $2,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Mile | |
| 10 | #10 Catapult (6/1) - Comes up to this race perfectly. Last race /work outs can't be better |
| 2 | #2 Next Shares (10/1) - Value with the fastest last race in the field |
| 5 | #5 Oscar Performance (6/1) - 3 for 3 at this distance, last right there with top two |
| Race 9 - $2,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Distaff | |
| 2 | #2 Abel Tasman (7/2) - Baffert pushes all the right buttons here, working great last at this distance delivered a 105 Beyer |
| 7 | #7 Midnight Bisou (6/1) - Last out tied for fastest in field, best work of the day on 10-22 |
| 11 | #11 Monomoy Girl (2/1) - Carbon copy of the #7 above. Fastest race, best work of the day on 10-22 at Santa Anita |
| Race 10 - $4,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Turf | |
| 12 | #12 Waldgeist (9/2) - Trainer has won this race 3 times |
| 5 | #5 Magical (10/1) - Injury prone horse finally has it all together to peak here |
| 3 | #3 Channel Maker (12/1) - Comes up to this perfect |
| Race 11 - $6,000,000 G1 Breeders' Cup Classic | |
| 6 | #6 McKinzie (6/1) Baffert and Smith in the Classic coming off a 107 beyer what else can you ask for |
| 7 | #7 West Coast (5/1) - Baffert gets the Classic exacta, good works / overall best races this year in the field |
| 14 | #14 Accelerate (5/2) - The chalk gets a piece |
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